Wednesday 27 June 2012

Volatility - holding up, despite index gains

The VIX closed very marginally lower in the brief AH trading today. Considering the index gains, VIX held up very well indeed.

The blue candle on the rainbow chart (elder impulse system), along with a still recovering MACD cycle, is highly suggestive of much higher VIX in the coming 3-5 days.



VIX'60min



VIX, daily, rainbow



VIX, weekly



Summary

VIX is arguably still in a general uptrend on the hourly cycle. First target would be 22/24 in the coming few days.

The bigger cycles warn of 30s and 40s in July.

Right now..those VIX August calls sure look cheap.