Wednesday 24 October 2012

12pm update - market still weak

Market showing some distinct signs of weakness. The transports, Rus'2000, and Nasdaq comp' are already red, and the Dow/SP' look set to follow as the day progresses.

VIX is a touch lower, and could close significantly higher.


sp'15min, rainbow



VIX'60min



Transports, daily


Summary

I think the tranny is an interesting sign of underlying weakness, it is set to go negative MACD cycle by Friday morning, and I think that bodes badly for the Dow. We could be <13,000 within hours.

*weekly charts continue to warn that sp'1325 is viable..if 1397 is tested..and fails to hold. Other indexes already suggest it can't hold.

I remain short, seeking my next exit @ 1400/1395, with VIX 20/21.

Time for lunch...back at 2pm