Wednesday 21 November 2012

12pm update - slow motion market

Pre-holiday trading, low volume, the algo-bots are in full control. This is absolutely not the time for the bears to have a chair at the blackjack table. VIX is 1% lower, lurking in the high 14s.


sp'60min



sp'daily5



Summary

The hourly index cycle is about 2-3 trading hours from going negative on the MACD (blue bar histogram) cycle, so there is a threat of late day downside, but really, it is nothing the bears should be chasing.

Downside is surely limited with most of the market already in semi-closed status.

With the holiday break - which effectively takes us into next week, there is no point in trying to trade it.

Maybe I can find a few interesting charts to post this afternoon.

time for lunch, back around 2pm. 
--

ohh, here is something...

FB, daily


FB trying to break above the giant gap level. A few closes in the 26s, would be admittedly bullish into next year. Fair value remains $4 though. I certainly am just keeping an eye on it..for now.