Friday 11 January 2013

12pm update - the bears need to close under sp'1465

The main indexes are indeed stuck, with the SP' failing to break the 1474 high. There are certainly a few signs of weakness out there, but really, nothing dynamic is going on so far today. Perhaps Monday will offer something?


sp'60min4



vix'daily



sp'daily5


Summary

As the hourly index charts all show, the bears need a break of that rising channel, which by the end of today will be around 1465. A close under that..opens up the 1450s on Monday.

Lets be clear though, the daily chart is still VERY bullish, and as I keep noting..even a move down to the low 1420s..- by the end of next week would do NO damage to the mid-term outlook for sp'1510/20.

Metals remain especially weak...

*metal charts...coming...soon....

GLD, daily



SLV, daily


Its starting to get a little ugly  Daily MACD cycles ready to rollover...hmm.
 --

UPDATE 1pm  You can see how a close of 1465 would be useful, in that it'd make this at least flat week, after last weeks hyper-ramp candle.



 Underlying trend is clearly still UP on the weekly charts, and even a retracement next to the low 1420s wouldn't wreck the trend since November sp'1343 low.

 With 3 hrs to go of the trading week, lets see if we see some minor selling into the weekend.