Monday 18 March 2013

10pm update - interesting week ahead

There is increasing concern, bemusement, and utter contempt for the plans of the Cypriot Government. Whenever the Banks in Cyprus do decide to open this coming week, one thing is for sure...it will be a long queue.


sp'daily5 - Monday morning outlook


Summary

The notion that any Government can just skim a given percentage from European bank accounts when 'the mood takes them', is beyond a dangerous precedent. Its outright crazy.

Are they actively trying to cause a state wide, even European wide bank run?
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As things are, I don't expect a move under the 20 day MA of sp'1530 tomorrow.

I'd guess the VIX might jump 20/25%. into the 15/16s..before a decline back to the 13/12s Wed/Thursday.
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The 60min micro-count was seeking a Blue IV wave lower of 20/30pts across Mon/Tuesday, and it looks like we will indeed see one.


See my weekend posting for my broader outlook on where we might be headed.

Goodnight from London