Thursday 27 June 2013

10am update - roasted bears

The 'bounce' continues from the 1560 low, and we're now 55pts higher in just 3 trading days. Another classic reminder to the bears that this market has underlying power, fuelled by QE, melted higher by the algo-bots, and cheered on by a deluded mainstream media that believes everything is 'fine'.


sp'60min


sp'daily5


Summary

For the moment, 'normal service' has indeed resumed.

QE is fuelling this no doubt, and with low volume, the bots are able to easily melt this nonsense higher.
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Worse case for the bears - assuming we rally into the Friday/end month close, sp'1540s.

The problem with that level is that it would utterly wreck the weekly charts current down cycle, and suggest that 1560 was a key low, and that we're now off to the 1700s.

If that's the case, I'm in trouble.
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On the flip side, there should 'in theory' be very strong resistance at 1620, with the 20, 50 day MAs, Fib' retace levels, and declining trend/channel.

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10.02am..this is why I am getting really edgy.


If we CLOSE this week >1603, the weekly candle will be blue, and ANY close >1620, and it argubly destroys any further downside potencial.

Urghhhhhhhhhh

10.15am...bears just need to break this back <1610.


A daily close <1610 will BREAK the current bounce/trend.