Thursday 27 June 2013

3pm update - weakness into the close?

The bulls have had a very strong 3 day climb of 60pts from the sp'1560 low. Hourly index charts are looking maxed out, and are offering initial signs of a rollover. Bears need a daily close <1610 for initial confirmation that this latest nonsense has concluded.


sp'60min



vix'60min


Summary

*VIX remains relatively stable, a daily close back in the 18s will open the door to the 20s again, but that seems very unlikely until next week.
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So...the closing hour to what has been a pretty annoying day. For many out there, this was one day to forget.

*I will hold heavy short overnight..and most likely into next week.
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re: next week. It has to be noted, its a 3.5 day week, with an early close on Wednesday (1pm), and Thursday closed.


3.22pm, borderline break of the rising channel....



Bears need a close <1610 to make things a bit clearer

3.33pm...well, no power on the bear side...everything is back on another micro-rally.

At this rate, R2K will close up 2%, with VIX stuck in the 16s.

Bulls only have to break 1625 in the next push, and that would negate the weekly outlook.

Lousy end to a lousy day. Urghh