Thursday 6 June 2013

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are moderately higher, sp+7pts, we're set to open around 1615. Precious metals and Oil are similarly a little higher, helped by a weaker USD. Daily index trends are still to the downside, but we are probably close to flooring.


sp'60min



vix'60min



Summary

*weekly jobless claims: 346k, nothing particularly good...not 'that bad'.

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So, we're set to open a little higher. Its hard to know if this is merely a wave'4 bounce, before a final move lower late today/early Friday.

Regardless, I think the floor is 'close', and I'm seeking a significant 5-10 bounce, at least to the sp'1660s.

Whether we then put in the first lower high of the year, that is the big question.
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Good wishes for the day ahead!
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ps. Anyone in the UK, turn on Channel'4. Kinda appropriate movie right now.
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Morning video from Mr Permabull



HIs 'new economy' is not the economy I want to live in.

9.22am.. Mr Draghi not exactly inspiring confidence..market now set to open flat..if not a touch lower. 

9.41am... messy open..minor drop..now a pop higher...

Hourly index MACD cycle is ticking higher still...bears beware. Very considerable risk of upside into the Friday close.