Monday 14 October 2013

1pm update - normal service resumes

The indexes are already starting to turn positive, and no doubt there is a great deal of dismay amongst the equity bears. What happened to last nights big declines huh? Metals look weak, and could even close red. Oil (as expected)..has turned higher, and looks set to build gains into tomorrow.


sp'daily5



vix'daily3


Summary

*black candle on the VIX, with a fail-spike...not a good sign for equity bears.
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For the bears, this is simply another major disappointment, yet...we've been here a hundred times before.

It is kinda hard to guess if the market will manage further strong gains on the eventual news of an agreement. The bullish outlook would suggest 1740/60s within 2-3 weeks.

I realise many are looking for a turn at that point, yet...I see little reason why it can't keep going from there...into spring 2014.
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*USO is going really well, underlying strength, even apparent in overnight action. Should be good for the mid 37s, as early as tomorrow.
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stock of the day..NFLX.


The hysteria returns in full.
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1.15pm... sp'1706...bears will be throwing bricks at their screens about now.
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