Friday 10 January 2014

11am update - continued minor chop

The market is still struggling to cope with what was a lousy jobs number, yet is also under the realisation that the next QE-taper is now not likely until the FOMC of March'19. There remains risk of downside to sp'1820/18..even 1810..but the 50 day now draws the line at sp'1800.


sp'60min


Summary

Obviously, if we break <1830..we're going to see another 10/12pt drop later today...which, considering the jobs number, would be somewhat understandable.

However, even if we do see a little washout, the broader outlook remains unchanged, with an upside target of 1860/80.
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A stock I've not mentioned, but one that has had the biggest two day ramp..I've probably ever seen...

ICPT.


There has been some kind of 'good medical/health product news'..plus, now takeover talk..with some suggesting upside to 700/800..even 1000. I've no idea about the real fundamentals, as I don't follow the company.  A few retail traders must have had a good week in that one..even those who were chasing it higher yesterday are up 50% or so.


11.14am.. For those closely watching...hourly bollinger bands are now extraordinarily tight after the last 3 solid days of minor chop..a mere 7pt range from upper to lower bol.

Based on the price action...and the bigger cycles..I'd have to guess we break to the upside. Worse case..I'm wrong, with downside of barely 1%. 

Notable mover:  UAL, +4.1% in the $45s...and the $48s remain primary target.