Monday 27 January 2014

2pm update - due a dumb bounce

Having slipped from sp'1846 to 1772 across just 3 trading days, we're more than due a bounce, with sp'1810/15 being a natural zone for the market to get stuck and rollover again. VIX looks maxed in the upper 18s. Metals remain weak, Gold -$8


sp'60min


Summary

So..to be clear...

high probability of a short term bounce..all the way to the 1810/15 zone.

However..even more important..we have confirmed breaks on the bigger weekly cycles.
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A re-short in the 1810/15 zone by late Wednesday would make for a particularly easy trade, considering the breaks in the weekly charts.
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Notable strength: AAPL +$4 @ 550...with earnings at the close of today.
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VIX pullback zone (if bounce to sp'1810/15)..would be 15/14.50. 
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2.16pm..a break >hourly 10MA..1790..will break the 3 day down trend...but it sure won't do anything to negate the bigger down turn on the weekly charts.

Metals are slipping away - as the market bounces... Gold -$13