Thursday 13 February 2014

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are somewhat lower, sp -8pts, we're set to open at 1811. Equity bears seeking a retracement should seek a break of the 50 day MA of 1809, which will open up the downside target zone 1800/1790, which should equate to a VIX back in the 16s.


sp'60min


Summary

*awaiting a trio of econ-data: jobs, retail sales, business inventories
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So, we're set to open a little lower, and the 50 day MA might be taken out by 11am.

re: targets

I'm somewhat cautious in the viable downside, and we could easily get stuck at 1800 or 1790. I had noted the 1780s yesterday, but that is going to be increasingly tough to hit.

Regardless, I have to think we'll see broader upside across March, and possible April.

As ever...one day at a time....
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Notable early gainer: UGAZ +4%, but that sure could flip negative, if the Gas report this morning comes in favourable to the bears.
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8.20am.. sp'-10pts, we're borderline breaking the 50 day MA in pre-market. This does bode well for the bears.

sp-15/20pts by 11am to 1805/00..then a micro bounce.
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8.32am..jobs and retail sales..kinda weak...

sp'-11pts.. we're set to open 1808

8.37am... -13pts.... 1806.     A test of the  big 1800 now looks likely by late morning.

UGAZ picking up.. +6%


9.16am... sp-11pts..we're still set to break the 50 day MA at the open.

Notable weakness: CSCO -4.1%