Monday 31 March 2014

10am update - morning gains.. yet again

For the seventh consecutive day, the market opens higher... yet each time we've seen a rather significant reversal. Today is complicated with end month/quarter issues. VIX opens a little lower, but is already starting to rebound. Metals are weakening... Gold -$2


sp'daily5


VIX'daily3


Summary

*opening reversal candle on the VIX. Underlying MACD cycle is kinda low.. and there is threat of the 16-18 zone this week.
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**Chicago PMI : 55.9.. a clear miss.
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Equity bears need to break back into the 1840s tomorrow (see rising trend line on daily chart).

Obvious target for the bulls is >1883...won't be easy..after 6 previous fails.
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Long day..and long week ahead!


10.04am... Just 10pts from breaking a new high... unless some end month selling appears later today...bears look toast.

One thing seems for sure...within a few days..we'll either be >1883...or <1840. 


10.15am.. hourly VIX cycle will be flooring soon...bulls...have 'issues' ahead this afternoon.