Friday 2 May 2014

10am update - underlying upside

Equities open with some minor chop, but the underlying upside is clear for anyone to see. The equity bears are powerless, and it is just a matter of when the sp'1900s will be hit, whether late today..or next week. Metals are a touch lower, Gold -$3, whilst the USD is +0.4%


sp'daily5


VIX'daily3


Summary

*VIX has already been knocked into the 12s, and if sp'1900s, then we'll be in the 11s next week. The only issue for me is whether we'll briefly see VIX 10/9s, whilst sp'1925/50 zone in May/June.
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So, we're a little higher, but nothing significant..at least not yet.

It is somewhat amusing to see the mainstream in two minds about the employment data. They do recognise that despite the headline numbers coming in okay, the underlying participation rate is just lousy.

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I remain heavy long - not least via the Oil/Gas drillers of DO, RIG, and SDRL. I will seek to drop them later today.



10.09am.. I could post a long list of charts..but suffice to say..the R2K is set to break the down trend resistance (Nasdaq already has)....and we have the Dow, Trans, Sp'..all set to break new highs.

The fact VIX is already in the 12s...should give enough clarity to anyone, about where we are headed.