Friday 22 August 2014

10am update - Yellen at the hole

Equities open with some minor weak chop, but certainly nothing for the equity bears to get excited about. Considering the bigger weekly cycles, the sp'2000 threshold is most certainly very viable today. Oil remains weak, -0.6%


sp'60min


Summary

...standing by for the Yellen.
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Looking at the hourly cycle, equity bears just need a Friday close <1980.. to break the channel... that will open up two gaps... 1972... 1958.

On no outlook do I see the 1940s being broken below until October.
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10.08am.. Well, the speech is released, and the algo-bots are churning on it.

Its starting to get real tedious again...micro chop. Even a test of the lower channel - 1980 at the close.. looks difficult.

Maybe there is a Q/A later..where Yellen might say something 'stupid' ?


10.27am... minor chop.

Why wouldn't we see sp'2000s this afternoon?

Its not looking good for those seeking a down wave beginning today.

My concern is we'll just keep battling higher..to the upper weekly bollinger... currently 2022...and only slip back to 2000 (would make for a natural support).
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VIX showing absolutely ZERO concern... set to close red... net weekly decline -10%


10.47am.. tiresome micro chop....  absolutely nothing for bears to get excited about.

Notable strength: airlines, DAL, UAL, both +1%