Wednesday 24 September 2014

12pm update - pushing upward

US equities have put in a very decisive spike floor of sp'1978 - matching the low from Sept'15th. Immediate trend is now to the upside, the only issue is whether the market will break new highs... or get stuck in the 2000/2010 zone - setting up a bearish H/S scenario.


sp'60min


vix'60min


Summary

So.. a key floor is indeed in, and now the issue is... whether we put in the first lower high.... or push to new highs in early October (which is only next Wednesday).

Considering the broader trends, I have to believe we will eventually break to the 2020/30s.. although I realise many out there would disagree right now.
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VIX update from Mr T.

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Time for lunch... or something

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12.23pm   sp'1990.. cooling a little, but still well above the earlier 1978 low.

I need a break...

back around 2pm


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1.30pm.. sp'1991.. and the gains are comfortably holding. So.. we're headed higher...and as noted...the issue now is whether the bulls get stuck....or keep on pushing higher.

It'll probably be until at least next Mon/Tue before the current up wave completes...even if we do get stuck.

For now, there seems zero point in anyone re-shorting for a good 3-4 days.