Thursday 30 April 2015

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are a little lower, sp -4pts, we're set to open at 2102. A break below the Tuesday low of 2094 looks unlikely. The sp' is set for a net monthly gain of around 2%. Metals are a touch higher, Gold +$2. Oil has early gains of 1.0%.


sp'60min


sp'monthly


Summary

Again its a case of early weakness, but there will be high chance of a latter day rally.. with a net daily gain... settling the month in the sp'2110s.. or even 2120s.

It is end month of course, and so expect some increasing price action this afternoon.

USD remains cooling, -0.4% in the DXY 94.70s... pretty incredible really. It does look that if the down cycle continues into June, we'll be pretty close to the secondary target zone of 90/89. From there... I think the trade becomes somewhat easier.... and that probably includes oil (short-side from 67/75).

*I was looking to go long Euro and/or long Oil this morning... however, the opening gains in both are something I am not going to chase.
--
notable strength: TWTR +1.4%.. but its surely a dead cat bounce... still looks headed for 36/34 zone before a real chance of levelling out.

Good wishes for end April trading!
-

9.45am Chicago PMI  52.3   vs. prev. 46.3

A much better level, but 52 is not exactly super bullish economy.
-

*notable weakness, metals. Gold -$19... end month washout!