Monday 18 May 2015

11am update - USD still trying to turn

Whilst the broader equity market is in micro chop mode (with a fractional new historic Dow high), there is notable strength in the USD, +0.8% in the DXY 93.90s. A 1-2 week bounce into the 95/96s remains very viable before a final washout to 90/89.


UUP, daily


sp'60min


Summary

Sure is a pretty dull start to the week in equities.

Underlying MACD (blue bar histogram) hourly cycle is set for a bearish cross, but there just doesn't seem any downside power right now. More likely, its just a case of churning sideways before the next up wave.

The fact we've already seen a new high in the Dow bodes in favour of the bulls.

*I'm aware some are seeking the sp'2040s within the next few weeks, but that simple doesn't look viable. Bears saw a sig' wave lower last week to 2085.. and we saw what happened from there.

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notable strength: DISCA +2.1%.. although broader trend sure isn't so pretty.

weakness, BABA -2.0%... no one seems interested in picking that up today.


11.13am.. I had wondered why I was seeing a truck load of trades flying through on AAPL....

Icahn has been talking...



$240... and it remains a valid target.. relative to the broader market.

Or perhaps you'd like a neg' yield EU bond?
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11.34am.. minor short-stop cascade underway...

New historic highs.. Dow.. sp'500....