Tuesday 5 May 2015

Closing Brief

US equities closed significantly weak, sp -25pts @ 2089. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled lower by -1.6% and -1.4% respectively. With the loss of the 50dma, next soft support is the recent low of 2077. Core support is the 200dma of 2027/28.. and then the giant 2K threshold.


sp'60min


Summary

*closing hour tried to bounce... but failed.
--

A pretty interesting day in market land.

The mainstream is claiming that the market sold lower on the intl. trade data (since when did anyone care about that?) - which saw a wider than expected deficit of $51bn... but really, I think that is just a case of mis-attribution.

We're clearly approaching the micro gap zone.. but further weakness tomorrow, and into the Friday morning jobs data looks probable.

A bigger move <2072 in the near term looks really difficult to achieve.
--

more later.. on the VIX