Wednesday 3 June 2015

10am update - vulnerable gains

US equity indexes open higher, but the gains look highly vulnerable to reversing. USD has turned lower, -0.2% in the DXY 95.60s... post Draghi depression? Metals are weak, Gold -$3, with Silver -1.1%.


sp'60min



GLD, daily


Summary

*price structure in the metals remains a bear flag... within a viable giant H/S formation. Outlook remains bearish... and I'm still short Gold - via GLD.
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PMI serv' 56s... inline.
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In equity land... The battle continues!

It is very clear how important the declining trend/resistance currently is... market is really respecting that line.

Right now.. the door remains open to a mini washout in the low sp'2080s... along with VIX 16s.
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notable strength, social media, FB/TWTR, both +2%.. as the momo chasers re-appear.
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10.01am ISM serv' sector, 55.7...  not great... but not dire either.
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awaiting the EIA oil report at 10.30am....



10.45am.. a clear break above resistance... urghh

The weaker USD is really helping prop up a lot of asset classes this morning.