Tuesday 9 June 2015

3pm update - weakness into the close

US equities are holding minor gains, sp +3pts @ 2082. Equity bears should be content with any daily close <2080. First resistance remains the big 2100 threshold. The USD continues to cool, -0.2% in the DXY 95.10s. Gold is set to close higher for the second consecutive day,+$4, although Silver is lagging, -0.1%


sp'60min



sp'daily5


Summary

*the smaller 15/60min equity cycles are both offering a closing hour rollover, which in theory should be the case.. if we're going to see a cycle low by end week.
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It remains a bit of a confusing mess.

The daily/weekly cycles are still suggestive of further weakness.. lead lower by the Transports.

Overall, the threat remains of another 'dumb rally' into early July... not least helped via a cooling USD. How long until earnings for some of the big intl' stocks are upgraded when DXY 92/90 in a few weeks?

What is clear... the mainstream is getting increasingly twitchy about downside this summer/early autumn.
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notable gains in energy prices, Nat' gas +4.9%, with Oil +2.7%.   Bullish US consumer?
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3.28pm... indexes rolling over... as expected...

Ohh lookie...


Another 5bn to buy back stock.. to prop up the share price. Western capitalism at its finest, right?
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3.34pm.. Somewhat amusing to see clown TV host getting twitchy.. as some indexes are set to close lower for the fourth consecutive day.

How can Yellen let this horror continue? 
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3.46pm.. Eyes on Intel (INTC)... a net daily decline.. would be the 7th in a row... that'd bode pretty bearish for main market. Near term target remains the $29s.