Friday 26 June 2015

Closing Brief

US equities closed somewhat weak, sp -0.7pts @ 2101 (intra low 2095). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled u/c and -0.2% respectively. Near term outlook is bearish for Mon/Tuesday, best downside case remains the sp'2060s, with VIX 16/17s.


sp'60min



Summary

*closing hour was mostly chop.... but with certainly leaning on the upside. For the bears.... it was annoying, but the downward channel did at least hold.
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.. and another wacky week in the twisted US market comes to a close.

Most had expected a Greek by now.... but no.. it is going to drag out across the weekend and into next week.

My best guess? A last minute deal, late Monday/Tuesday... with the market rallying from there.

I still fear some degree of multi-week rally across July and into early August, and until then.. I will be very cautious on any short side trades.

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*holding LONG VIX across the weekend, but I have Oct' calls.. and I'm not concerned about the ticking detonator clock.
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Have a good weekend
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*the usual bits and pieces across the evening to wrap up the week.