Friday 4 September 2015

Rallying on Goldilocks jobs data?

The week is set to conclude with the monthly jobs data, and with Thursday already having seen another sig' downward swing from sp'1975 to 1944 - settling @ 1951, from a pure cyclical perspective, the market is set to rally into the weekend.


sp'weekly


Trans, weekly


Summary

*it won't take much to push the Trans' net higher for the week, and with two consecutive net weekly gains - with spike floors, it would bode for at least another week or two higher in the rest of the market.
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Equity bulls will clearly struggle to turn the current weekly candle for the sp'500 positive by the Friday close, but there is still a rather clear spike floor of 1903 - a notable higher low.

All things considered, market should battle upward into the weekend, and across much of next week. The sp'2000 threshold looks a somewhat easy target.

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Looking ahead

Friday will be all about the jobs data.. market is expecting net job gains of 223k, with a marginally lower headline jobless rate of 5.2%.
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*I hold a micro AAPL-long position overnight, seeking an exit in the $112s before the holiday weekend.

Goodnight from London