Thursday 3 December 2015

12pm update - moderately weak

US equities remain moderately weak, and a little choppy in the low sp'2070s. USD remains very significantly lower, -1.9% in the DXY 98.10s. A daily close in the 97s would be suggestive that the USD has a double top - from March... of DXY 100, with at least short term implications for Oil and the metals.


sp'daily5



UUP, daily


Summary

The drop in the dollar is getting borderline severe.

As for whether we have a clear double top - from the March high, that is going to take some days, if not a few weeks to have clarity.

In any case... King dollar is having a rough day. I'd imagine the FOREX retail amateurs are having a wild day!
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Next support for the sp'500 is the 200dma @ 2065/64.
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VIX update from Mr T.



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time for tea :)
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12.18pm... USD -2.0%... rather severe indeed.

Oil is benefiting... +2.0%... and that is helping some of the energy stocks.

notable strength: RIG +3.3%

... sp'500 testing the 200dma of 2065/64.

If this is a tease to the equity bears before a jobs data hyper-ramp... this is truly cruel.
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12.27pm... sp'2062.... so.. now its case of whether we close above.. or below the 200dma.

Clearly.. a weekly close in the 2100s is now off the menu.

notable weakness, CHK -9.8%.. having lost the $5.00 threshold.... a lot of institutions are likely going to clear the deck on that one.