Wednesday 30 March 2016

VIX breaks another new low

With US equity indexes closing moderately higher, the VIX was still broadly subdued, having made a new cycle low of 13.06, but settling -1.9% @ 13.56. Near term outlook offers some equity weakness, with a push higher in the VIX to the 18/19s. Sustained action >20 looks difficult for another few weeks.


VIX'60min



VIX'daily3


Summary

*I adjusted the descending trendline on the daily chart.. as we broke a new cycle low today.

As of the April 1st' open, VIX bulls need to see 15s to offer any opportunity of the upper teens next week.
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Suffice to add.. it was pretty incredible to see the VIX almost break into the 12s this morning.

Yet.. we did see a turn around 11am. The 14/15s look viable tomorrow/Friday.

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more later.... on the indexes