Tuesday 12 April 2016

10am update - highly vulnerable

US equity indexes open a little higher, but look highly vulnerable across today. A daily close in the low sp'2020s - with VIX 17s, remains well within range. USD is trying to halt the broader downward trend, currently +0.2% in the DXY 94.10s.


sp'60min



VIX'60min



Summary

Little to add.

Its already a little tedious, but we should close net lower. The only issue is whether it will be above or below last Thursday's low of sp'2033.

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notable strength... CHK, daily


Continued utter nonsense in CHK land. The company has basically pledged just about every asset to backup a $4bn credit line. If Nat' gas prices remain broadly subdued... it remains just a matter of time before the creditors pull the plug.

*It is notable that despite the last two days of hyper gains, CHK is still below the high (a black-fail candle no less) from early March.
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stay tuned


10.21am.. not surprisingly.. red indexes.. with a positive VIX.

Now its just a case of whether > or < 2033.   Daily cycles suggest 2025/20 - with VIX >17.50.. at today's close.

Broadly though... no sustained bearish action for some weeks.